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Market Data: Electric Trucks and Buses

posted Apr 9, 2021, 8:48 AM by Frederick H. Schuchardt

Global Forecasts for Electric Trucks, Buses, and Supporting Charging Infrastructure in Heavy Commercial Vehicle Markets

Significant growth lies ahead for electric HCVs (e-HCVs) in China, particularly with e-trucks, but the larger question is how quickly the rest of the world is going to catch up. In that regard, the next 10 years are likely to be dramatic. Public transit fleets worldwide are implementing the transition toward electricity at a rapid pace, and major parcel delivery services have made huge orders for purpose-built e-HCVs. Electric rigid trucks and day cab tractors are being introduced by established truck, and high capacity charging technology standards to enable electric long-haul trucking are nearing debut.

These developments follow mounting pressure from governments and corporate customers demanding that manufacturers and fleets provide zero emissions solutions. Emissions and energy efficiency regulations in two-thirds of the global HCV market are pressing manufacturers to make more energy efficient vehicles, making e-HCVs more attractive. Additionally, corporate climate action planning is looking into the supply chain for emissions savings, resulting in fleet emissions characteristics becoming a criterion for competitive assessment. The Science Based Targets initiative has logged nearly 1,000 corporate commitments—a sign of this trend.

This Guidehouse Insights report provides an assessment of the global markets for e-HCVs and supporting charging infrastructure, including technologies, market drivers and barriers, and the extent by which the market is likely to grow over the next decade. Forecast vehicle technologies in this report include battery electric trucks and buses with gross vehicle weight ratings over 3.5 tons (T) segmented by major vehicle types as follows: vans, rigid trucks, tractors, transit and coach buses, and shuttles. Charging infrastructure technologies include all charge points deployed to specifically support e-HCVs. Forecasts on these technologies are provided from 2020-2030 by major global region.